BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Estherville Lincoln Central

Class: 2A Class Rank: 73 Conference: (2-13) Overall: (6-17) Overall Strength =   65.25

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/04/2009 Away    L    67.55  56   72   3A   20 (21- 4) Forest City             2.07    -18.07                      
  2 12/05/2009 Home    W    77.58  62   38   1A   81 (10- 9) Graettinger-Terril     12.10     11.90                      
  3 12/11/2009 Away    L *  70.70  44   49   2A   33 (16- 8) Emmetsburg              5.22    -10.22                      
  4 12/12/2009 Away    W    66.07  45   37   1A   71 (11-12) Armstrong-Ringsted      0.59      7.41                      
  5 12/15/2009 Away    L *  58.43  46   58   3A   46 ( 6-16) Spencer                -7.05     -4.95                      
  6 12/18/2009 Home    L *  53.62  37   59   3A   25 ( 9-11) Storm Lake            -11.86    -10.14                      
  7 12/19/2009 Home    L    68.64  54   60   2A   35 (16- 5) Lake Mills              3.16     -9.16                      
  8 01/04/2010 Home    L *  74.52  43   70   2A    1 (25- 3) Western Christian       9.04 *  -36.04  was 12/08 now 01/04 
  9 01/05/2010 Home    L *  56.71  43   67   2A   13 (12- 8) Cherokee Washington    -8.77    -15.23                      
 10 01/08/2010 Away    L *  60.09  48   56   2A   64 ( 7-15) Spirit Lake            -5.39     -2.61                      
 11 01/11/2010 Home    L    48.06  61   79   EX   66 ( 1- 1) Jackson County Centr  -17.41     -0.59                      
 12 01/14/2010 Home    W    65.21  52   41   1A   75 ( 8-15) Newell-Fonda           -0.26     11.26                      
 13 01/15/2010 Away    L *  57.01  41   75   3A   12 (16- 6) LeMars                 -8.47 *  -25.53                      
 14 01/19/2010 Away    L *  69.41  37   72   2A    1 (25- 3) Western Christian       3.93 *  -38.93                      
 15 01/22/2010 Home    L *  61.81  44   55   2A   33 (16- 8) Emmetsburg             -3.67     -7.33                      
 16 01/26/2010 Home    W *  82.54  49   34   3A   46 ( 6-16) Spencer                17.06     -2.06                      
 17 01/29/2010 Away    L *  65.50  50   63   3A   25 ( 9-11) Storm Lake              0.03    -13.03                      
 18 02/02/2010 Away    L *  53.60  37   67   2A   13 (12- 8) Cherokee Washington   -11.88    -18.12                      
 19 02/05/2010 Home    W *  79.21  57   43   2A   64 ( 7-15) Spirit Lake            13.73      0.27                      
 20 02/06/2010 Away    L    54.39  49   58   1A   51 (17- 3) Ruthven-Ayrshire      -11.09      2.09                      
 21 02/11/2010 Home    L *  65.12  42   65   3A   12 (16- 6) LeMars                 -0.36    -22.64  was 02/09 now 02/11 
 22 02/17/2010 Away    W    85.53  67   59   2A   35 (16- 5) Lake Mills             20.05    -12.05                      
 23 02/18/2010 Away    L *  64.70  38   49   2A   33 (16- 8) Emmetsburg             -0.78    -10.22                      
      Averages              65.48  47.9 57.7

Best game:   85.53 = 8 point win over Lake Mills
Worst game:  48.06 = 18 point loss to Jackson County Central MN
Team stdev:   9.81